变暖全球葡萄产美国影响酒生

发布时间：2025-05-04 18:07:47 来源：男大当娶网 作者：综合

这项研究成果已发表在英国《环境研究快报》杂志网络版上。全球

全球变暖将影响葡萄种植业，变暖加利福尼亚州颇富盛名的影响纳帕山谷等地将难以酿造出优质葡萄酒。

研究人员假定，美国

摘要：美国研究人员日前公布报告称，葡萄俄勒冈州威拉米特河谷及华盛顿州哥伦比亚山谷。酒生全球变暖将影响美国的全球葡萄种植业，大气中的变暖温室气体浓度比现在升高23%。加利福尼亚州颇富盛名的影响纳帕山谷等地将难以酿造出优质葡萄酒。研究人员利用气候模型以及历史气象数据预测了全球变暖如何影响这些地区的美国葡萄生产。

斯坦福大学研究人员领导的葡萄团队分析了美国西部4个优质葡萄酒产地：加州圣巴巴拉县、至2040年，酒生加州等地将难以酿造出优质葡萄酒

生物探索推荐英文论文摘要：

Climate adaptation wedges: a case study of premium wine in the western United States

Abstract:

Design and 全球implementation of effective climate change adaptation activities requires quantitative assessment of the impacts that are likely to occur without adaptation, as well as the fraction of impact that can be avoided through each activity. Here we present a quantitative framework inspired by the greenhouse gas stabilization wedges of Pacala and Socolow. In our proposed framework, the damage avoided by each adaptation activity creates an 'adaptation wedge' relative to the loss that would occur without that adaptation activity. We use premium winegrape suitability in the western United States as an illustrative case study, focusing on the near-term period that covers the years 2000–39. We find that the projected warming over this period results in the loss of suitable winegrape area throughout much of California, including most counties in the high-value North Coast and Central Coast regions. However, in quantifying adaptation wedges for individual high-value counties, we find that a large adaptation wedge can be captured by increasing the severe heat tolerance, including elimination of the 50% loss projected by the end of the 2030–9 period in the North Coast region, and reduction of the projected loss in the Central Coast region from 30% to less than 15%. Increased severe heat tolerance can capture an even larger adaptation wedge in the Pacific Northwest, including conversion of a projected loss of more than 30% in the Columbia Valley region of Washington to a projected gain of more than 150%. We also find that warming projected over the near-term decades has the potential to alter the quality of winegrapes produced in the western US, and we discuss potential actions that could create adaptation wedges given these potential changes in quality. While the present effort represents an initial exploration of one aspect of one industry, the climate adaptation wedge framework could be used to quantitatively evaluate the opportunities and limits of climate adaptation within and across a broad range of natural and human systems.

Environ. Res. Lett.：全球变暖影响美国葡萄酒生产

全球变暖将影响美国的葡萄种植业，纳帕山谷、参与研究的斯坦福大学伍兹环境研究所助理教授诺亚·迪芬博表示，

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